Author: Roger M. Cooke
Edition:
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Binding: Hardcover
ISBN: 0195064658
Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (Environmental Ethics & Science Policy)
This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Medical books Experts in Uncertainty. The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning Medical books Experts In Uncertainty: Opinion And Subjective Probability In Science By Rog. TheNile.com.au About FAQ Payment Delivery Contact Us 1800-987-323 Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (English) by Roger M. Cooke Format Hardcover Condition Brand New Language English Experts in Uncertainty is an extensive survey and critical examination of the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Publisher Description This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific
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TheNile.com.au About FAQ Payment Delivery Contact Us 1800-987-323 Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science (English) by Roger M. Cooke Format Hardcover Condition Brand New Language English Experts in Uncertainty is an extensive survey and critical examination of the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Publisher Description This book is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific
Experts in Uncertainty Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science, ISBN-13: 9780195064650, ISBN-10: 0195064658
Experts in Uncertainty is an extensive survey and critical examination of the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making.
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Medical Book Experts in Uncertainty
The elicitation, representation, and use of expert opinion is increasingly important for two reasons: advancing technology leads to more and more complex decision problems, and technologists are turning in greater numbers to "expert systems" and other similar artifacts of artificial intelligence. Cooke here considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematic foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models, termed "classical," "Bayesian," and "psychological scaling." Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.
